Showing posts with label Jerry. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jerry. Show all posts

Feb 13, 2008

Microsoft -> Yahoo -> News Corp -> Microsoft ??

So, what's on Jerry's mind. First he get's a call from Steve - informing him of the Microsoft Bid. Then he get's a call from Eric - offering to help him out of the $44B bind. Not surprisingly Eric backs down in the face of the very obvious regulatory issues which would surely consume him and his Management Team. A relative calm ensues -which lasts all of a few minutes, before Rupert, steps up and professes his interest, again.

Jerry et al and Rupert have talked before but could never agree on the correct valuation for Myspace. Probably due to the fact that Social Networking Sites don't make a whole lot of money - relative to the sheer number of eyeballs they attract. Apparently, no one has figured out how to effectively monetize the Social Engagement piece -which faciliates user generated content and ultimately makes sites like Myspace and Facebook, so popular. The deal would allow Yahoo to remain independent while giving News Corp. substantial control over a huge array of Internet properties and advertising opportunities. Clearly a big win for News Corp - with very little upside for Yahoo! - so why go through with it?

The fact that this discussion is even taking place, gives an indication of the Yahoo founders feeling about selling out to Microsoft. Jerry wouldn't even consider this deal now, unless he was feeling the heat from shareholders -who have been pretty patient thus far. Let's face it - $44B is a lot of cash. So, ultimately, a sale to Microsoft still appears to the most likely scenario for Yahoo. And, apparently the MSFT Team knows it. There's no sign of anxiety in Redmond, even as Yahoo actively seeks alternatives. The company has said it is willing to "pursue all necessary steps" to consummate the deal, which could mean going directly to shareholders. Let's hope it doesn't come to that. A protracted battle, would be bad for morale at both Companies - and the only clear winner would be Google.......

Jan 29, 2008

Yahoo Sales Into "Headwinds"

Looks like things are about to get pretty interesting @ Yahoo. The #1 General Interest Portal and #2 Search Engine - released it's Q4 earnings report today - and things aren't looking too good. It reported a 23% drop in fourth-quarter profit and will lay off over 1,000 of its 14,300 employees in mid-February. On a slightly positive note, Revenue is up 8%, US RPS is up 20%, Search Revenue is up 30%, while Query Volume reported a 10% increase. 2008 Net Revenue Guidance is $5.35 to $5.95 billion, versus consensus of $5.9 billion.
Yahoo appears to be focusing on strengthening their core Search Business - in key markets. In doing so, they're doing away with specific partnerships or affiliates which haven't yielded the desired returns. Traffic Acquisition Costs (TAC) rates have been renegotiated 72% to 80%. Interestingly, Yahoo President - Sue Decker, indicated that there was weaker online-ad spending during the quarter among some categories of advertisers affected by broader economic issues. Spending by advertisers in the financial, travel and retail areas declined or grew more slowly in the fourth quarter compared with a year earlier. There are however indications that key online categories including Auto, Pharmaceuticals & Telecoms are projecting growth in online budgets in 2008.

Can't wait to see what type of returns, Google delivers - on Thursday 01/31. Hey Jerry, watch out for those headwinds, they could easily sink your ship, or at the very least - blow you significantly of course and into troubled waters......